BlackRock says inflation pressures were already entrenched before the Middle East supply shock, leaving policymakers with little room to support growth.
- Markets have rapidly priced out U.S. rate cuts in 2026 as energy and input costs rise.
- BlackRock expects the Fed, ECB, BoE and BoJ to broadly hold rates steady this week.
- The firm remains overweight U.S. and EM equities, citing accelerating AI monetisation and earnings strength.
- It stays underweight long-term government bonds, calling them less effective diversifiers in a higher-inflation regime.
The old playbook assumed weaker growth meant lower yields. That relationship now looks far less reliable.
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