Edmond de Rothschild argues that despite geopolitical volatility, investors continue to treat the Iran shock as tradable rather than structural.
- Risk assets rebounded quickly after signs of delayed escalation, reinforcing the market’s tendency to fade geopolitical panic unless supply disruption becomes durable.
- Central banks have turned more hawkish as energy prices feed inflation concerns, with markets now pushing back expectations for rate cuts.
- Credit spreads widened and equity leadership narrowed, with energy and materials outperforming while rate-sensitive sectors came under pressure.
If the conflict drags on, the issue may no longer be volatility itself—but whether markets are still underpricing macro damage.
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