RBC BlueBay strategists outline why EM sovereign performance in 2026 may hinge on countries’ alignment (or non-alignment) with the Trump administration amid rising geopolitical fragmentation.
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Geopolitical risk is a key differentiator: the US “large-scale strike” in Venezuela underscores escalation and sanctions-tail risks across EM.
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Latin America shows policy consequences: Colombia briefly faced 25% tariffs, while Brazil was hit with 50% tariffs, highlighting headline-driven volatility.
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Asia and CEEMEA are increasingly transactional, with trade deals, defence links and funding flows shaping idiosyncratic sovereign outcomes.
Explore the full report for country-by-country flashpoints, scenario drivers and positioning implications.
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