Markets Embrace Prospect of Smaller Government

This report by Robert M. Almeida Jr., part of the Strategist’s Corner series, analyzes the implications of reduced government intervention under a second Trump administration.

• Market Sentiment: The S&P 500 rallied post-election, with investor optimism fueled by expectations of deregulation and a smaller government role in markets.

• Economic Landscape: U.S. government debt-to-GDP surged to 130%, and Federal Reserve interventions significantly expanded monetary supply, influencing asset prices.

• Valuation Concerns: Elevated Shiller CAPE ratios highlight risks, particularly if tariffs and rising input costs pressure corporate margins.

For deeper insights into strategic positioning amid these dynamics, access the full report.